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	<title>Beer and Sport &#187; statistical analysis</title>
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		<title>How shit is Mitch?</title>
		<link>http://beerandsport.net/how-shit-is-mitch/</link>
		<comments>http://beerandsport.net/how-shit-is-mitch/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 29 Jul 2009 04:39:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Moses</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Cricket]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bowling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mitchell johnson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[statistical analysis]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://beerandsport.net/?p=1207</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It wasn&#8217;t until JRod pointed out that Mitchell has better figures than Anderson that I got to thinking a statistical analysis could be insightful on the bowlers in this series to date. I&#8217;ve uploaded my working here if you want &#8230; <a href="http://beerandsport.net/how-shit-is-mitch/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It wasn&#8217;t until <a href="http://www.cricketwithballs.com/2009/07/28/reasons-why-australia-can-still-win-retain-the-ashes/">JRod pointed out that Mitchell has better figures than Anderson</a> that I got to thinking a statistical analysis could be insightful on the bowlers in this series to date. I&#8217;ve uploaded my working <a href="http://beerandsport.net/uploads/johnno.xls">here</a> if you want to take a look in Excel.</p>
<p>Mitchell Johnson is in terrible form, you can read about it <a href="http://www.news.com.au/heraldsun/story/0,21985,25849784-2882,00.html">here</a>, <a href="http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/sport/cricket/my-mothers-not-to-blame-says-johnson-20090729-e0io.html">here</a>, <a href="http://www.skysports.com/cricket/ashes/story/0,26376,12340_5456424,00.html">here</a>, <a href="http://www.news.com.au/couriermail/story/0,23739,25848381-5003413,00.html">here</a>, <a href="http://www.dawn.com/wps/wcm/connect/dawn-content-library/dawn/news/cricket/07-drop-mitchell-for-edbgaston-aussie-media-fans-ha-06">here</a>, <a href="http://www.sticksports.com/blog.php?bt=4380">here</a>, <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/sport/poll/2009/jul/27/mitchell-johnson-ashes">here</a>, <a href="http://livenews.com.au/sport/johnson-too-good-to-drop-says-nielsen-/2009/7/23/213736">here</a>, and according to google there are 520 more such stories <a href="http://news.google.com.au/news/more?um=1&#038;ned=au&#038;cf=all&#038;ncl=d3JHMb3NAfoEdvMdQWJxLKsjffDGM">here</a>.</p>
<p>However, when one looks at aggregated bowling figures, Johnson has 8 wickets and is just trailing Hauritz (9) and Hilfenhaus (9) for series honours.</p>
<p>Mithcell&#8217;s bowling average of 41.38 looks terrible, until you consider the roads prepared to date and observe that he&#8217;s ranked 5th best in the series, ahead of JM Anderson (42.1), PM Siddle  (45.1), GP Swann (56.1), SCJ Broad  (64.1), MS Panesar (115.1) and all the part timers.</p>
<p>Johnno&#8217;s overall economy rate is poor at 4.00, with just Collingwood (4.47) and Onions (4.55) returning inferior resutls. Still, I haven&#8217;t read too many stories calling for Onions to be chopped.</p>
<p>On paper his bowling to date is more than acceptable, it&#8217;s impressive. He&#8217;s taken 8 out of 34 English wickets, namely Strauss, Cook (twice), Bopara, Flintoff, Prior, Broad (on 19) and Anderson (on 29) so there&#8217;s no &#8216;soft&#8217; ones padding his stats, unlike <a href="http://beerandsport.net/not-so-super-fred/">SuperFred</a>.</p>
<p>Are we asking too much of a guy who&#8217;s had the &#8216;spearhead&#8217; label placed on him after 3 good spells and an injury to Lee? If we&#8217;re going to drop any bowler for Clark to come in then Siddle should be first in line.</p>
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